Twins at Red Sox

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(29-34)
Rank28
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
40.6%59.4%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.34Projected Runs 4.33
6Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(26-34)
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank28
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-23.631.07

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
85-12.931.13

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Taj Bradley • BOS: Jovani Moran+115
W 8-6 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Connor Prielipp • BOS: Payton Tolle+134
W 1-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Mike Burrows • MIN: Joe Ryan-133
L 2-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jason Alexander • MIN: Zebby Matthews-130
W 3-6 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Tatsuya Imai • MIN: Kendry Rojas-110
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Taj Bradley • BOS: Jovani Moran-118
L 8-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Connor Prielipp • BOS: Payton Tolle-142
W 4-3 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Connelly Early • KCR: Michael Wacha+103
W 7-1 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Ranger Suarez • KCR: Bailey Falter-126
W 3-1 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Sonny Gray • KCR: Seth Lugo-106

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PGarrett Acton60-day IL
  • PCole Sands15-day IL
  • Byron BuxtonRest
  • 3BTristan GrayOut
  • CRyan Jeffers10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • Danny CoulombeProbable
  • PGarrett Crochet15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
E 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)54°54°54°54°
Humidity85%86%86%86%
Precipitation95%96%77%74%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleRainDrizzle
WindE 8 mphE 10 mphE 9 mphE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+125+156+144+150+157+150+157+156.0
Red Sox-138-175-175-166-167-166-166-156.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+136+152+135+151+150+153+153+156.0
Red Sox-154-165-150-166-170-168-165-156.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +164 to +156
Red Sox ML moved from -182 to -189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +145 to +135
Red Sox ML moved from -152 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-160+1½-152+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-148
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-1½+140-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7-105o7-110o7-114o7-115o7-114o7-105o7-104
Underu8½-115u7-108u7-110u7-106u7-105u7-106u7-105u7+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-104
Underu8-120u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7½-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105
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