Twins at Red Sox

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(29-34)
Rank28
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
42.1%57.9%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.44Projected Runs 4.26
8Final Score 6

Boston Red Sox

(26-34)
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank28
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Connor Prielipp (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-22.880.96

Payton Tolle (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-22.050.78

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Mike Burrows • MIN: Joe Ryan-133
L 2-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jason Alexander • MIN: Zebby Matthews-130
W 3-6 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Tatsuya Imai • MIN: Kendry Rojas-110
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Robert Gasser • MIN: Bailey Ober+122
L 2-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Logan Henderson • MIN: Connor Prielipp+115
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-3 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Connelly Early • KCR: Michael Wacha+103
W 7-1 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Ranger Suarez • KCR: Bailey Falter-126
W 3-1 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Sonny Gray • KCR: Seth Lugo-106
L 1-8 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Brayan Bello • ATL: Grant Holmes+134
W 3-2 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Payton Tolle • ATL: Bryce Elder+107

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PGarrett Acton60-day IL
  • PCole Sands15-day IL
  • CRyan Jeffers10-day IL
  • 3BTristan GrayOut
  • PTaj Bradley15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PDanny Coulombe15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
SE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°58°56°54°
Humidity44%47%50%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 5 mphSE 4 mphSSE 5 mphS 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+145+131+124+135+136+135+136+140.6
Red Sox-160-145-148-149-146-149-145-140.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+133+133+132+134+130+127+134+140.6
Red Sox-150-143-147-149-146-142-142-140.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +139 to +132
Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +140 to +133
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-165+1½-169+1½-175+1½-167+1½-165+1½-167+1½-165+1½-154
Red Sox-1½+140-1½+152-1½+150-1½+147-1½+145-1½+147-1½+152-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-175+1½-175+1½-165+1½-154
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½+110o7½+105o7-122o7-125o7-122o7½+110o7-111
Underu8+100u7½-123u7½-125u7+102u7+105u7+102u7+105u7+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7-125o7-125o7½+105o7-115o7-125o7-115o7-111
Underu8-125u7+105u7+105u7½-125u7-105u7+105u7+105u7+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-116 to o7-127
The Under moved from u7½-124 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105
Mets at Marlins
Nationals at Braves