Reds at Red Sox

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(13-10)
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
39.6%60.4%
Reds WinRed Sox Win
4.37Projected Runs 5.45
9Final Score 8

Boston Red Sox

(13-11)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-22.650.882

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-24.081.443

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly+153
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Luke Weaver+115
W 3-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Ben Lively+144
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Tanner Houck • ARI: Merrill Kelly+117
W 2-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Garrett Whitlock • ARI: Zach Davies-106
W 7-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Chris Sale • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-117
L 3-7 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: James Paxton • LAA: Tyler Anderson-105
L 0-4 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: Brayan Bello • LAA: Griffin Canning-110

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • PCorey KluberOut
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • RFAlex VerdugoRest
SE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°63°60°58°
Humidity52%55%58%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphS 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+166+154+141+154-+154+154+158.9
Red Sox-181-164-170-167--167-164-158.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+158+155+155+150+155+150+155+158.9
Red Sox-190-170-171-178-170-175-170-158.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +148 to +141
Red Sox ML moved from -163 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +152 to +146
Red Sox ML moved from -160 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-120+1½-128+1½-125+1½-130-+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
Red Sox-1½+100-1½+112-1½+105-1½+110--1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-120+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
Red Sox-1½+100-1½+105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o9½-113o9½-115o9½-110-o9½-110o9½-110o9½+100
Underu10-110u9½-103u9½-105u9½-110-u9½-110u9½-103u9½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½-115o9½-110o9½-120o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½+100
Underu10-115u9½-105u9½-110u9½+100u9½-110u9½-110u9½+100u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u10-115 to u9½-110
Brewers at Blue Jays
Phillies at Mets