Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
42.1%57.9%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.27Projected Runs 4.09
8Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-35.571.481

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-12.930.976

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Luke Weaver+115
W 3-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Ben Lively+144
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+131
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon-160
L 9-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-138
L 10-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-101
W 2-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • CHC: Marcus Stroman-107
W 2-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • CHC: Drew Smyly-106

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PNick BurdiUnknown
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
  • 1BMatt MervisRest
  • PAdrian Sampson60-day IL
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
NE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°71°72°71°
Humidity44%41%39%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNE 7 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+154+144+154+155+154+155+158.9
Cubs-140-164-175-167-165-167-164-158.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+135+152+153+143+153+151+153+158.9
Cubs-160-165-168-170-167-176-165-158.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +134 to +126
Cubs ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +163 to +153
Cubs ML moved from -170 to -176

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
Cubs-1½+135-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-154+1½-150+1½-145+1½-155+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-128
Cubs-1½+135-1½+130-1½+127-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-113o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-113o7½-104
Underu8-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu8-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-112 to o7½-122
The Under moved from u7½-106 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-125 to u7½-120