Royals at Phillies

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
44.8%55.2%
Royals WinPhillies Win
4.24Projected Runs 4.79
2Final Score 8
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
235-104.631.327

Walker Buehler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
227-75.451.558

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Stephen Kolek • CLE: Gavin Williams+124
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Jonathan Bowlan • CLE: Logan Allen-105
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Noah Cameron • CLE: Joey Cantillo-101
L 2-10 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Ryan Bergert • CLE: Slade Cecconi+102
L 5-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-114
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-6 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-112
W 3-11 vs New York MetsNYM: Clay Holmes • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-145
W 3-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • PHI: Ranger Suárez-127
W 0-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Nolan McLean • PHI: Aaron Nola+110
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Tyler Phillips-127

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PSeth Lugo15-day IL
  • PBailey Falter15-day IL
  • PMichael WachaUnknown

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • RHPJordan Romano15-day IL
  • 3BAlec Bohm10-day IL
  • PZack WheelerOut for Season
  • SSTrea Turner10-day IL
ENE 5 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°75°72°70°
Humidity49%55%63%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindENE 5 mphESE 4 mphSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+120+125+120+124+127+124+127+129.5
Phillies-132-135-143-137-137-137-135-129.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+113+120+126+125+125+125+126+129.5
Phillies-126-135-140-140-140-135-135-129.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Phillies ML moved from -130 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Phillies ML moved from -130 to -136

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-173+1½-168+1½-170+1½-160+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-148
Phillies-1½+152-1½+152-1½+145-1½+140-1½+150-1½+140-1½+152-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-181+1½-170+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-175+1½-155+1½-148
Phillies-1½+156-1½+150-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+155-1½+150-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-113o9-110o9-112o9-115o9-112o9-110o9-102
Underu9-105u9-103u9-110u9-108u9-105u9-108u9-103u9+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-110o9-110o9-102
Underu9-105u9+100u9-105u9+100u9-105u9-110u9+100u9+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110