Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
47.5%52.5%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.17Projected Runs 4.45
15Final Score 7
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Cade Cavalli (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-14.851.483

Ryan Weathers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-13.281.054

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 6-3 at Chicago CubsWSN: Andrew Alvarez • CHC: Drew Pomeranz+175
W 2-1 at Chicago CubsWSN: Brad Lord • CHC: Matthew Boyd+230
L 5-11 at Chicago CubsWSN: Jake Irvin • CHC: Javier Assad+190
W 5-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Mitchell Parker+135
W 2-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Adam Mazur • WSN: Cade Cavalli-124
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Tyler Phillips+125
L 4-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesus Luzardo • MIA: Janson Junk+145
L 9-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • MIA: Valente Bellozo+220
L 5-10 at Washington NationalsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Mitchell Parker-143
L 2-5 at Washington NationalsMIA: Adam Mazur • WSN: Cade Cavalli+119

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMacKenzie Gore15-day IL
  • PDerek LawOut for Season
  • CDrew Millas10-day IL
  • CKeibert RuizUnknown

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
  • CFDerek Hill10-day IL
  • 3BGraham Pauley10-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera15-day IL
  • -Anthony BenderOut for Season
  • LFDane Myers10-day IL
  • -Jesus TinocoOut for Season
  • 3BConnor Norby10-day IL
  • PRyan Gusto15-day IL
  • PJanson JunkNamed Starter
SW 5 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°78°77°77°
Humidity86%87%89%90%
Precipitation95%67%66%52%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsRainThunderstorms
WindSW 5 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 4 mphENE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+116+106+103-103+103-103+106+101.9
Marlins-128-116-123-107-113-107-107-101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+122+105+102+106+105+105+106+101.9
Marlins-136-120-114-121-115-115-114-101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +100 to -103
Marlins ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +111 to +105
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-190+1½-197+1½-200+1½-202+1½-190+1½-202+1½-190+1½-184
Marlins-1½+165-1½+173-1½+170-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+175-1½+184
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-190+1½-215+1½-200+1½-190+1½-210+1½-190+1½-184
Marlins-1½+155-1½+170-1½+185-1½+170-1½+165-1½+185-1½+185-1½+184

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-118o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-118o8½-109
Underu8-110u8½+102u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+102u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-115o8½-118o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-109
Underu8-110u8½-105u8½-102u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-102u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
No Steam Moves On Under