Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
44.6%55.4%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.70Projected Runs 4.27
6Final Score 2
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Parker Messick (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-01.841.33

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-42.641.102

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-1 at Detroit TigersCLE: Tanner Bibee • DET: Tarik Skubal+205
W 4-0 at Detroit TigersCLE: Gavin Williams • DET: Tarik Skubal+128
W 7-5 at Detroit TigersCLE: Joey Cantillo • DET: Tarik Skubal+121
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Yoendrys Gómez • CLE: Slade Cecconi-146
W 1-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • CLE: Parker Messick-162
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 10-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luis Gil • MIN: Taj Bradley+146
L 10-9 vs New York YankeesNYY: Cam Schlittler • MIN: Zebby Matthews+155
W 0-7 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodon • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+175
L 6-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Nabil Crismatt • MIN: Bailey Ober-116
L 5-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Ryne Nelson • MIN: Joe Ryan-130

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PSam HentgesOut for Season
  • PBen LivelyOut for Season
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
  • RFWill BrennanOut for Season
  • PNic Enright10-day IL
  • CFLane ThomasOut for Season
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • PAndrew WaltersOut for Season

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PDavid FestaOut for Season
  • CRyan JeffersUnknown
  • PAnthony Misiewicz15-day IL
  • RFAlan RodenOut for Season
  • RFMatt Wallner10-day IL
  • PJustin Topa15-day IL
  • CChristian Vazquez10-day IL
ESE 5 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)68°66°66°65°
Humidity88%90%91%91%
Precipitation49%49%48%35%
ConditionDrizzleHeavy RainDrizzleDrizzle
WindESE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 4 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+109-109-117-110-109-110-109-104.8
Twins-120-101-103+100-101+100+100+104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+110-110-112-104-105-110-104-104.8
Twins-120-105+100-111-105+100+100+104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -101 to -107
Twins ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +100 to -107
Twins ML moved from +101 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-195+1½-226-1½+155+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-197
Twins-1½+165-1½+194+1½-180-1½+186-1½+180-1½+186-1½+197
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-205+1½-220+1½-225+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-197
Twins-1½+175-1½+190-1½+195-1½+180-1½+185-1½+195-1½+195-1½+197

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8+102o8-105o8-102o8-105o8-102o8+102o8+107
Underu8-110u8-118u8-115u8-118u8-115u8-118u8-115u8-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+107
Underu8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under