Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(6-10)
Rank14
R/G3.5
RA/G4.6
45.6%54.4%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.07Projected Runs 4.53
2Final Score 4

Cleveland Guardians

(12-5)
Rank16
R/G5.7
RA/G3.5
Rank14
R/G3.5
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G5.7
RA/G3.5

Pitching

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.71.304

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
65-01.110.762

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Kenta Maeda • CLE: Aaron Civale-121
W 5-4 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Matt Wisler • KCR: Kris Bubic-140
W 7-2 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Randy Dobnak • KCR: Brady Singer-148
L 2-7 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Jake Odorizzi • KCR: Danny Duffy-135
W 1-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIN: Jose Berrios-101
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CLE: Aaron Civale+115
L 7-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-250
W 1-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • CLE: Triston McKenzie-170
L 10-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Fulmer • CLE: Adam Plutko-190
W 2-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Shane Bieber • PIT: Trevor Williams-265

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • PHomer Bailey45-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PCody Stashak10-day IL
  • 3BJosh Donaldson10-day IL
  • PZack Littell10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown
  • PZach PlesacOut
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
  • CFDelino DeShieldsUnknown
N 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°79°78°77°
Humidity57%58%58%58%
Precipitation1%0%1%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 4 mphNE 4 mphNNE 5 mphNNE 6 mph
Chris Segal
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+154+150+156+157+155+156+157-
Guardians-167-175-169-167-170-169-167-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+150-+156+155+165+152+165-
Guardians-160--172-170-185-162-162-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +156 to +149
Guardians ML moved from -160 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +162 to +156
Guardians ML moved from -170 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145-
Guardians-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-140-+1½-138+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-138-
Guardians-1½+120--1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-115o8+100o7½-115o8-105o8+100o7½-115-
Underu8-110u7½-105u8-120u7½-105u8-115u8-120u8-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105-o8+102o7½-115o7½-120o8+100o7½-115-
Underu8-115-u8-122u7½-105u7½+100u8-120u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105
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