Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(7-13)
Rank17
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
47.3%52.7%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.69Projected Runs 4.97
3Final Score 2

Cleveland Guardians

(16-6)
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank17
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-02.270.632

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-22.910.971

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 5-4 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Matt Wisler • KCR: Kris Bubic-140
W 7-2 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Randy Dobnak • KCR: Brady Singer-148
L 2-7 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Jake Odorizzi • KCR: Danny Duffy-135
W 1-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIN: Jose Berrios-101
L 9-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • MIN: Rich Hill-155
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-250
W 1-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • CLE: Triston McKenzie-170
L 10-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Fulmer • CLE: Adam Plutko-190
W 2-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Shane Bieber • PIT: Trevor Williams-265
W 6-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Steven Brault-179

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PZack Littell10-day IL
  • PCody Stashak10-day IL
  • 3BJosh Donaldson10-day IL
  • PHomer Bailey45-day IL
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PMike ClevingerOut
  • PZach PlesacOut
  • CFDelino DeShieldsQuestionable
SSW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°84°82°81°
Humidity56%59%64%67%
Precipitation3%2%2%3%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-106-135-125-125-130-125-125-
Guardians-104+115+115+115+120+115+115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-110--121-123-125-125-121-
Guardians+100-+111+113+115+115+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -119 to -125
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -107 to -113
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-
Guardians+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140--1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+132-
Guardians+1½-160-+1½-151+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110-
Underu9-120u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100-o8½-114o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-114-
Underu9-120-u8½-106u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-114
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8-105
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