Tigers at Guardians

Updated

Detroit Tigers

(87-75)
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G4.4
58.4%41.6%
Tigers WinGuardians Win
3.67Projected Runs 2.79
2Final Score 1

Cleveland Guardians

(88-74)
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G4.4
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tarik Skubal (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3113-62.210.891

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3112-53.061.27

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 3-4 at Boston Red SoxDET: Chris Paddack • BOS: José De León-107
W 2-1 at Boston Red SoxDET: Keider Montero • BOS: Connelly Early+105
L 3-4 at Boston Red SoxDET: Casey Mize • BOS: Kyle Harrison+108
W 4-2 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Troy Melton • CLE: Parker Messick+140
L 1-5 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Jack Flaherty • CLE: Tanner Bibee+130
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 8-9 vs Texas RangersTEX: Patrick Corbin • CLE: Logan Allen-134
W 2-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jacob Latz • CLE: Joey Cantillo-140
L 7-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • CLE: Slade Cecconi-150
L 4-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Troy Melton • CLE: Parker Messick-148
W 1-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • CLE: Tanner Bibee-137

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • PSean GuentherOut for Season
  • PJason FoleyOut for Season
  • 3BColt Keith10-day IL
  • PTy MaddenOut for Season
  • PBeau BrieskeOut for Season

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFDavid FryOut for Season
  • PSam HentgesOut for Season
  • PAndrew WaltersOut for Season
  • CFLane ThomasOut for Season
  • PBen LivelyOut for Season
  • RFWill BrennanOut for Season
  • RFNolan Jones10-day IL
  • PNic Enright10-day IL
NNE 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°76°76°75°
Humidity60%56%56%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 9 mphNNE 11 mphNNE 12 mphNNE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers-160-162-165-160-163-160-160-150.8
Guardians+134+150+139+145+153+145+153+150.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers-156-165-162-165-164-165-162-150.8
Guardians+138+150+145+150+145+150+150+150.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from -155 to -164
Guardians ML moved from +151 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from -162 to -170
Guardians ML moved from +152 to +145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers-1½+130-1½+112-1½+130-1½+123-1½+120-1½+123-1½+130-1½+131
Guardians+1½-150+1½-128+1½-150+1½-143+1½-140+1½-143+1½-128+1½-131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+131
Guardians+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-131

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6-103o6-105o6-106o6-110o6-106o6-103o6+104
Underu6½-120u6-113u6-115u6-114u6-110u6-114u6-110u6-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6-105o6-110o6½+110o6-110o6-110o6-105o6+104
Underu6½-110u6-115u6-110u6½-130u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+100 to o6-106
The Under moved from u6-111 to u6-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+100 to o6-110
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-115
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