Astros at Guardians

Updated
Rank20
R/G3.9
RA/G5.3
57.0%43.0%
Astros WinGuardians Win
4.75Projected Runs 4.02
6Final Score 3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank20
R/G3.9
RA/G5.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Lance McCullers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-12.941.173

Sam Hentges (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-27.321.991

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 7-2 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Framber Valdez • CLE: J.C. Mejia-170
L 5-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Matt Harvey • HOU: Luis Garcia-284
L 13-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Travis Lakins • HOU: Jose Urquidy-300
L 9-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Thomas Eshelman • HOU: Zack Greinke-335
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersHOU: Jake Odorizzi • DET: Tarik Skubal-165
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • CLE: J.C. Mejia+160
L 7-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Wily Peralta • CLE: Logan Allen-135
L 9-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jose Urena • CLE: Cal Quantrill-179
W 5-13 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • CLE: Eli Morgan-157
L 2-8 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Sam Hentges • MIN: J.A. Happ+120

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • CMartin MaldonadoOut
  • PEnoli Paredes10-day IL
  • PJose Urquidy10-day IL
  • LFYordan AlvarezOut
  • RFKyle TuckerUnknown
  • PKent Emanuel60-day IL
  • SSAledmys Diaz10-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • DHFranmil ReyesUnknown
  • LFEddie RosarioUnknown
  • RFJosh Naylor10-day IL
  • CFBradley ZimmerUnknown
  • PAaron Civale10-day IL
  • 3BJose RamirezUnknown
  • PShane Bieber10-day IL
N 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°65°68°69°
Humidity77%81%76%73%
Precipitation15%16%12%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 10 mphNNW 10 mphN 12 mphN 13 mph
Jansen Visconti
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-180-161-164-159-159-159-159-
Guardians+166+145+142+147+149+147+149-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-172-158-157-150-155-158-155-
Guardians+156+148+143+140+142+148+148-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -155 to -162
Guardians ML moved from +149 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -174 to -180
Guardians ML moved from +146 to +140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-120-1½-111-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-111-
Guardians+1½+100+1½-109+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-115-1½-115-1½-113-1½-115-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-
Guardians+1½-103+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120-
Underu9½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9+105o8½-120o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+105-
Underu9½-120u9-125u8½+100u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-112 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120