Astros at Guardians

Updated
Rank20
R/G3.9
RA/G5.3
58.2%41.8%
Astros WinGuardians Win
4.57Projected Runs 3.70
7Final Score 2
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank20
R/G3.9
RA/G5.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-12.110.991

J.C. Mejia (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-24.941.183

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Matt Harvey • HOU: Luis Garcia-284
L 13-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Travis Lakins • HOU: Jose Urquidy-300
L 9-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Thomas Eshelman • HOU: Zack Greinke-335
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersHOU: Jake Odorizzi • DET: Tarik Skubal-165
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersHOU: Lance McCullers • DET: Wily Peralta-220
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Wily Peralta • CLE: Logan Allen-135
L 9-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jose Urena • CLE: Cal Quantrill-179
W 5-13 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • CLE: Eli Morgan-157
L 2-8 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Sam Hentges • MIN: J.A. Happ+120
L 7-8 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Cal Quantrill • MIN: Danny Coulombe+115

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • CMartin MaldonadoRest
  • SSCarlos CorreaRest
  • SSAledmys Diaz10-day IL
  • PEnoli Paredes10-day IL
  • PKent Emanuel60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL
  • PJose Urquidy10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh Naylor10-day IL
  • PAaron Civale10-day IL
  • CFBradley ZimmerUnknown
  • PShane Bieber10-day IL
N 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°70°
Humidity76%77%78%76%
Precipitation7%6%4%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearPartly Cloudy
WindN 10 mphN 10 mphN 13 mphN 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-160-177-185-181-181-181-177-
Guardians+148+159+160+166+161+166+166-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-164-172-174-172-175-170-170-
Guardians+154+157+158+157+160+160+160-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -160 to -171
Guardians ML moved from +163 to +156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -180 to -188
Guardians ML moved from +166 to +160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-110-1½-120-1½-120-1½-122-1½-122-1½-122-1½-120-
Guardians+1½-110+1½+100+1½+100+1½+102+1½+102+1½+102+1½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-110-1½-115-1½-111-1½-110-1½-120-1½-110-1½-110-
Guardians+1½-110+1½-105+1½-107+1½-110+1½+100+1½-110+1½+100-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu9½-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu9-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-124
The Under moved from u8½+104 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110