Phillies at Braves

Updated
Rank6
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1
43.4%56.6%
Phillies WinBraves Win
4.11Projected Runs 4.81
7Final Score 8
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Vince Velasquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-04.911.636

Ian Anderson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-13.271.212

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 12-2 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Zach Eflin • ATL: Charlie Morton+132
W 0-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PHI: Zack Wheeler+110
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PHI: Chase Anderson+125
W 5-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • PHI: Aaron Nola-163
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PHI: Vince Velasquez+105
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 12-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • ATL: Charlie Morton-140
W 3-2 at Washington NationalsATL: Drew Smyly • WSN: Jon Lester-108
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsATL: Max Fried • WSN: Erick Fedde-130
W 6-1 at Washington NationalsATL: Huascar Ynoa • WSN: Joe Ross-124
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysATL: Ian Anderson • TOR: Ross Stripling-120

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • LFMatt Joyce10-day IL
  • 2BRonald Torreyes10-day IL
  • PJoJo Romero10-day IL
  • CFAdam HaseleyOut
  • CFRoman Quinn10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CFEnder Inciarte10-day IL
  • PChris Martin10-day IL
  • CAlex Jackson10-day IL
  • CTravis d'Arnaud60-day IL
  • CFGuillermo Heredia10-day IL
WSW 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°71°69°67°
Humidity38%43%48%52%
Precipitation1%0%1%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindWSW 4 mphW 3 mphW 3 mphSE 3 mph
Dan Merzel
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+151+132+140+141+143+141+143-
Braves-175-146-160-153-153-153-146-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+156+146+143+142+140+147+147-
Braves-172-156-157-152-155-157-152-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +140 to +132
Braves ML moved from -167 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +152 to +139
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-135+1½-146+1½-145+1½-139+1½-139+1½-139+1½-139-
Braves-1½+115-1½+126-1½+125-1½+119-1½+119-1½+119-1½+126-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-128+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-136-
Braves-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o9+100o9+103o9+103o9+103o9+103-
Underu8½+100u9-115u9-120u9-123u9-123u9-123u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+100o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+100-
Underu9-120u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-117 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-127