Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(8-13)
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
52.5%47.5%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.33Projected Runs 4.08
0Final Score 2

Cleveland Guardians

(16-6)
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
65-02.370.763

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-24.731.485

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Logan Allen+102
W 2-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Peyton Battenfield-115
W 7-3 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Pablo Lopez • CHW: Lucas Giolito-140
L 4-6 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Louie Varland • CHW: Dylan Cease+112
L 2-3 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • CHW: Michael Kopech-165
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Logan Allen-104
L 2-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Peyton Battenfield+108
L 3-4 at New York YankeesCLE: Shane Bieber • NYY: Clarke Schmidt-115
L 2-4 at New York YankeesCLE: Tanner Bibee • NYY: Gerrit Cole+144
W 3-2 at New York YankeesCLE: Cal Quantrill • NYY: Domingo German+115

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • RFOscar GonzalezRest
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
S 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
UnknownVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)67°68°69°69°
Humidity73%73%72%73%
Precipitation40%0%18%18%
ConditionRainCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphSSW 10 mphSW 9 mphSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-135-153-170-151-150-151-150-143.8
Guardians+125+143+141+139+140+139+143+143.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-126-155-152-160-161-160-152-143.8
Guardians+107+145+139+135+147+135+147+143.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -142 to -148
Guardians ML moved from +145 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -150 to -163
Guardians ML moved from +148 to +139

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+135-1½+107-1½+105-1½+106-1½+110-1½+106-1½+110-1½+115
Guardians+1½-155+1½-123+1½-125+1½-126+1½-130+1½-126+1½-123+1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140-1½+105-1½+106-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+106-1½+115
Guardians+1½-160+1½-125+1½-124+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-108o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8-120u8½-108u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-108u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-107 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110
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