Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
50.9%49.1%
Nationals WinCubs Win
4.17Projected Runs 4.07
4Final Score 3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Max Scherzer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-22.10.76

Jake Arrieta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-34.11.232

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-6 at Chicago CubsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CHC: Zach Davies-103
L 3-7 at Chicago CubsWSN: Jon Lester • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+146
W 3-0 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Erick Fedde • ARI: Luke Weaver-102
L 4-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Joe Ross • ARI: Seth Frankoff-120
W 17-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Max Scherzer • ARI: Riley Smith-186
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CHC: Zach Davies-105
W 3-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jon Lester • CHC: Adbert Alzolay-154
W 5-1 at Detroit TigersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • DET: Matthew Boyd-140
L 8-9 at Detroit TigersCHC: Trevor Williams • DET: Jose Urena-150
W 4-2 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jake Arrieta • DET: Tarik Skubal-144

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PLuis AvilanOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
  • PShelby Miller10-day IL
  • 1BAnthony RizzoUnknown
  • PJonathan Holder60-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
  • CAustin Romine60-day IL
  • SSJavier BaezRest
S 11 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To LeftHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°71°69°68°
Humidity68%70%73%76%
Precipitation6%5%3%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 11 mphS 11 mphS 11 mphS 11 mph
Chris Conroy
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-137-160-164-155-155-155-155-
Cubs+127+144+142+143+145+143+145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-142-153-159-154-155-156-153-
Cubs+130+143+145+144+140+146+146-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from -155 to -164
Cubs ML moved from +146 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from -150 to -160
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½-103-1½-103-1½-103-
Cubs+1½-123+1½-115+1½-115+1½-117+1½-117+1½-117+1½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+103-1½+100-1½-104-1½+105-1½-105-1½-105-1½+105-
Cubs+1½-121+1½-120+1½-114+1½-125+1½-115+1½-115+1½-114-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9+100o9+100o9+102o9+102o9+102o9+102-
Underu9½-115u9-120u9-120u9-122u9-122u9-122u9-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o9+105o9+107o9+105o9+100o9+100o9+107-
Underu10-105u9-125u9-127u9-125u9-120u9-120u9-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9-116 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120