Nationals at Cubs

Updated

Washington Nationals

(8-10)
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
45.8%54.2%
Nationals WinCubs Win
3.90Projected Runs 4.34
3Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-12.251.375

Adbert Alzolay (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-34.50.875

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-0 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Erick Fedde • ARI: Luke Weaver-102
L 4-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Joe Ross • ARI: Seth Frankoff-120
W 17-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Max Scherzer • ARI: Riley Smith-186
W 1-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • WSN: Patrick Corbin-105
L 5-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Jon Lester+116
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 5-1 at Detroit TigersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • DET: Matthew Boyd-140
L 8-9 at Detroit TigersCHC: Trevor Williams • DET: Jose Urena-150
W 4-2 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jake Arrieta • DET: Tarik Skubal-144
L 1-2 at Cleveland GuardiansCHC: Zach Davies • CLE: Sam Hentges+125
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansCHC: Adbert Alzolay • CLE: Shane Bieber+175

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PLuis AvilanOut for Season
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • PPatrick CorbinOut

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CAustin Romine60-day IL
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
  • PShelby Miller10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder60-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
E 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)61°59°58°57°
Humidity74%77%81%84%
Precipitation2%0%0%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphE 8 mphE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+110+140+140+145+147+145+147-
Cubs-130-155-160-157-157-157-155-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+145+140+146+140+144+146-
Cubs-140-155-154-156-155-154-154-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Cubs ML moved from -154 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +145 to +136
Cubs ML moved from -146 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150-
Cubs-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-159+1½-150+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-148-
Cubs-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105-
Underu8-110u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-105o8+105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+105-
Underu8½-115u8-115u8-125u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-108 to u8-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125
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