Twins at Astros

Updated
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
48.6%51.4%
Twins WinAstros Win
3.98Projected Runs 4.14
3Final Score 10
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
132-53.531.121

Colton Gordon (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-15.111.378

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 16-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Patrick Corbin • MIN: Bailey Ober-146
W 2-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • MIN: David Festa-140
L 16-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Tyler Mahle • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-120
W 3-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Bowden Francis • MIN: Joe Ryan-179
L 5-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIN: Chris Paddack-111
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • HOU: Framber Valdez-270
W 2-10 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Sean Burke • HOU: Ryan Gusto-160
L 4-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Shane Smith • HOU: Lance McCullers-165
L 2-4 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Brandon Walter • CLE: Tanner Bibee+131
W 5-3 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Hunter Brown • CLE: Gavin Williams-110

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PZebby Matthews15-day IL
  • 2BLuke Keaschall60-day IL
  • PPablo Lopez15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PRonel BlancoOut
  • PJ.P. France60-day IL
  • LFZach Dezenzo10-day IL
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • PHayden WesneskiOut for Season
  • 3BIsaac ParedesQuestionable
NE 9 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°81°81°78°
Humidity81%83%86%88%
Precipitation40%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 9 mphE 8 mphSE 6 mphESE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+107-113-123-116-115-116-113-110.1
Astros-118+103+103+105+105+105+105+110.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+103-120-118-115-115-115-115-110.1
Astros-115+105+106+100+105+105+106+110.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -111 to -117
Astros ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -110 to -120
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-205-1½+147-1½+140+1½-230+1½-230+1½-230+1½-204
Astros-1½+177+1½-163+1½-165-1½+192-1½+190-1½+192-1½+204
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-210+1½-230+1½-225+1½-230+1½-240+1½-230+1½-225+1½-204
Astros-1½+180-1½+195-1½+195-1½+190-1½+200-1½+200-1½+200-1½+204

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-113o7½-118o8-105o8-104o8-105o8-104o7½-118o8+105
Underu8-107u7½+102u8-115u8-116u8-115u8-116u8-115u8-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8+100o8-110o8-105o8+100o8+100o8+105
Underu8-115u8-110u8-120u8-110u8-115u8-120u8-110u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120