Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
43.3%56.7%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.74Projected Runs 4.45
1Final Score 13
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2213-43.761.279

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
136-43.111.048

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: Chris Bassitt-130
W 0-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Jacob deGrom-220
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • NYM: Max Scherzer-220
W 2-10 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: T.J. Zeuch • NYM: Taijuan Walker-310
W 2-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Mike Minor • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-285
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsATL: Bryce Elder • MIA: Braxton Garrett-112
W 6-2 at Miami MarlinsATL: Ian Anderson • MIA: Tommy Nance-174
W 5-2 at Miami MarlinsATL: Kyle Muller • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-130
W 4-3 at Miami MarlinsATL: Jake Odorizzi • MIA: Pablo Lopez-134
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxATL: Kyle Wright • BOS: Nick Pivetta-142

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PDrew SmithUnknown
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • CTomas NidoUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.Unknown
  • LFMarcell OzunaRest
  • 3BEhire AdrianzaUnknown
  • 3BOrlando Arcia10-day IL
  • CTravis D'ArnaudUnknown
  • PMax FriedUnknown
  • RFRobbie GrossmanRest
  • CManny PinaOut for Season
  • LFAdam DuvallOut for Season
NW 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°84°81°79°
Humidity53%59%68%76%
Precipitation6%8%8%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 4 mphNNW 3 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+130+142+140+147+146+147+147+147.0
Braves-141-152-168-159-161-159-152-147.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+126+148+147+140+147+140+148+147.0
Braves-150-158-161-165-161-150-150-147.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +131 to +125
Braves ML moved from -158 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +135 to +128
Braves ML moved from -154 to -161

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-145+1½-143+1½-160+1½-147+1½-147+1½-147+1½-143+1½-133
Braves-1½+125-1½+127-1½+135-1½+127-1½+127-1½+127-1½+135-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-150+1½-150+1½-144+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-144+1½-133
Braves-1½+130-1½+130-1½+126-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-103o8-115o8-125o8-125o8-125o8-115o8-109
Underu8½-120u8½-113u8-105u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8½-103
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120