Reds at Mets

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
35.7%64.3%
Reds WinMets Win
3.37Projected Runs 4.87
2Final Score 6
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mike Minor (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-86.191.571

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2112-43.821.283

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-5 at New York MetsCIN: Justin Dunn • NYM: Chris Bassitt+297
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIL: Corbin Burnes+250
W 7-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: Aaron Ashby+155
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Robert Dugger • MIL: Eric Lauer+213
L 0-3 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Mike Minor • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+197
New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Justin Dunn • NYM: Chris Bassitt-335
W 2-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • NYM: Jacob deGrom-142
W 2-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • NYM: Max Scherzer-127
W 5-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Jake Odorizzi • NYM: David Peterson-128
L 9-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • NYM: Taijuan Walker-126

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaUnknown
  • 3BKyle FarmerUnknown
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • LFDominic Smith10-day IL
  • PDrew SmithUnknown
  • CJames McCannRest
  • CFBrandon NimmoRest
  • RFTyler NaquinRest
NNW 9 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)89°87°85°84°
Humidity61%68%74%76%
Precipitation17%15%13%12%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindNNW 9 mphNW 10 mphNNW 6 mphNNE 5 mph
Pat Hoberg
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+253+257+230+246+255+246+257+261.6
Mets-285-297-290-277-295-277-277-261.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+250+250+255+250+250+250+255+261.6
Mets-300-300-285-320-300-290-285-261.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +260 to +254
Mets ML moved from -306 to -312

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +265 to +250
Mets ML moved from -280 to -290

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+115+1½+132+1½+130+1½+120+1½+125+1½+120+1½+132+1½+133
Mets-1½-135-1½-148-1½-150-1½-140-1½-145-1½-140-1½-140-1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+115+1½+120+1½+117+1½+125+1½+130+1½+120+1½+130+1½+133
Mets-1½-135-1½-140-1½-135-1½-145-1½-150-1½-140-1½-135-1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-113o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-104
Underu9+100u8½-103u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu9-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105