Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank4
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5
38.2%61.8%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.46Projected Runs 5.70
12Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank4
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Kyle Bradish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-35.741.35

Garrett Whitlock (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-13.581.163

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 0-2 at New York YankeesBAL: Tyler Wells • NYY: JP Sears+146
L 6-7 at New York YankeesBAL: Bruce Zimmerman • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+201
W 6-4 at New York YankeesBAL: Jordan Lyles • NYY: Gerrit Cole+263
W 6-7 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Corey Kluber • BAL: Spenser Watkins+160
L 6-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Jeffrey Springs • BAL: Kyle Bradish+117
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 16-7 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Michael Wacha • CHW: Dallas Keuchel-121
L 1-3 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Rich Hill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+138
W 16-3 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CHW: Dylan Cease+144
W 4-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-120
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-150

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PAlexander Wells60-day IL
  • PTravis LakinsUnknown
  • CRobinson ChirinosRest
  • PSpenser WatkinsUnknown
  • PChris EllisOut for Season
  • PMatt HarveyUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
SSW 14 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°72°70°69°
Humidity73%80%84%90%
Precipitation0%0%0%3%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 14 mphSSW 14 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+173+151+164+160+163+164+164+165.5
Red Sox-188-183-178-170-178-178-170-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+172+167+158+155+168+162+168+165.5
Red Sox-190-182-174-170-185-174-170-165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +148 to +141
Red Sox ML moved from -171 to -177

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +164 to +155
Red Sox ML moved from -170 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-115+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-114
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-112+1½-120+1½-124+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-114
Red Sox-1½-106-1½+100-1½+106-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+106-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10-110o10-110o10-105o10-110o10-110o10-105o10+100
Underu9½-105u10-110u10-110u10-115u10-110u10-110u10-110u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10-110o10-105o10-115o10-110o10-105o10-105o10+100
Underu9½-105u10-110u10-115u10-105u10-110u10-115u10-105u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-115