Reds at Marlins

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G5.0
54.6%45.4%
Reds WinMarlins Win
4.06Projected Runs 3.57
6Final Score 3
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G5.0
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Andrew Abbott (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-13.091.37

Sandy Alcantara (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.00.56

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-0 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Brandon Williamson • MIA: Janson Junk+135
W 2-1 at Texas RangersCIN: Chase Burns • TEX: Jack Leiter+106
W 2-0 at Texas RangersCIN: Rhett Lowder • TEX: Kumar Rocker+129
W 5-3 at Texas RangersCIN: Brady Singer • TEX: MacKenzie Gore+155
L 8-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Andrew Abbott+128
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • MIA: Janson Junk-135
W 7-6 at New York YankeesMIA: Pete Fairbanks • NYY: Max Fried+250
L 7-9 at New York YankeesMIA: Max Meyer • NYY: Ryan Weathers+183
L 2-8 at New York YankeesMIA: Eury Pérez • NYY: Will Warren+150
W 0-10 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Shane Smith • MIA: Sandy Alcántara-140

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PHunter Greene60-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • -Caleb Ferguson15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • -Ronny Henriquez60-day IL
  • SSMax Acosta10-day IL
  • PPete FairbanksOut
  • LFEsteury Ruiz10-day IL
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
  • PAdam Mazur60-day IL
  • LFChristopher Morel10-day IL
LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+104+124+120+122+124+122+124+127.1
Marlins-115-137-143-134-134-134-134-127.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+108+125+121+120+120+120+125+127.1
Marlins-118-135-135-135-135-130-130-127.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 40.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +127 to +119
Marlins ML moved from -131 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 40.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +127 to +120
Marlins ML moved from -135 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-195+1½-182+1½-185+1½-182+1½-180+1½-182+1½-180+1½-167
Marlins-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+159-1½+160-1½+159-1½+160-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-200+1½-175+1½-185+1½-175+1½-185+1½-170+1½-175+1½-167
Marlins-1½+170-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7½+106o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+106o7½+104
Underu7-110u7½-119u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7½+100o7-130o7-125o7-125o7-125o7-125o7½+104
Underu7-110u7½-120u7+110u7+105u7+105u7+105u7+110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-120