Astros at Cubs

Updated

Houston Astros

(12-22)
Rank14
R/G4.4
RA/G5.0
42.9%57.1%
Astros WinCubs Win
4.43Projected Runs 5.17
3Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(21-15)
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.4
RA/G5.0
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-211.572.286

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-01.80.6

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 2-7 at Chicago CubsHOU: J.P. France • CHC: Jordan Wicks-105
L 0-6 at Washington NationalsHOU: Hunter Brown • WSN: Mitchell Parker-165
L 4-5 at Washington NationalsHOU: Ronel Blanco • WSN: Trevor Williams-167
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsHOU: Justin Verlander • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-146
L 5-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • HOU: J.P. France+123
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • CHC: Jordan Wicks+100
L 6-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-116
W 3-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Roddery Munoz • CHC: Shota Imanaga-205
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • CHC: Javier Assad-130
W 3-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: A.J. Puk • CHC: Jameson Taillon-159

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • PBennett SousaOut for Season
  • PFramber Valdez15-day IL
  • PJose Urquidy15-day IL
  • PCristian Javier15-day IL
  • PPenn Murfee60-day IL
  • PLance McCullers Jr60-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
  • POliver Ortega60-day IL
  • PKendall Graveman60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • CFCody Bellinger60-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
NNE 10 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)42°41°40°40°
Humidity53%56%59%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+105-108-114-106-109-106-106-100.9
Cubs-115-102-106-104-101-104-101+100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-103-107-110-103-110-110-103-100.9
Cubs-107-103+100-112+100+100+100+100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Astros: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -103 to -109
Cubs ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Astros: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +100 to -104
Cubs ML moved from -109 to -117

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-225+1½-226-1½+155+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220+1½-199
Cubs-1½+185-1½+194+1½-180-1½+190-1½+190-1½+190-1½+199
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-216+1½-230+1½-230+1½-220+1½-240+1½-230+1½-220+1½-199
Cubs-1½+190-1½+195-1½+200-1½+180-1½+200-1½+195-1½+200-1½+199

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-113o7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8-120u7½-103u7½-110u7½-107u7½-110u7½-107u7½-103u7½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-108 to o7½-118
The Under moved from u8-113 to u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110
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