Marlins at Cubs

Updated

Miami Marlins

(9-26)
Rank28
R/G3.6
RA/G5.8
35.6%64.4%
Marlins WinCubs Win
3.34Projected Runs 4.85
3Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(20-14)
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
Rank28
R/G3.6
RA/G5.8
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-27.651.55

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-02.160.96

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-8 at Chicago CubsMIA: A.J. Puk • CHC: Jameson Taillon+154
L 3-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Keaton Winn • MIA: Trevor Rogers+102
W 3-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jordan Hicks • MIA: Ryan Weathers+121
L 4-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kyle Harrison • MIA: Edward Cabrera+102
L 9-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+131
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: A.J. Puk • CHC: Jameson Taillon-159
W 5-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Jordan Wicks • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+115
L 11-12 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Kyle Hendricks • ARI: Tommy Henry+112
W 3-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Ben Brown • ARI: Merrill Kelly+143
W 3-2 at Seattle MarinersCHC: Javier Assad • SEA: Luis Castillo+133

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PSandy Alcantara60-day IL
  • PBraxton Garrett15-day IL
  • PJT Chargois15-day IL
  • CChristian Bethancourt10-day IL
  • SSXavier Edwards10-day IL
  • 3BJake Burger10-day IL
  • PEury PerezOut for Season
  • PA.J. Puk15-day IL
  • PJosh Simpson15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
  • LFIan HappQuestionable
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
WNW 11 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)46°47°48°47°
Humidity42%42%42%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+136+123+119+124+123+124+124+128.7
Cubs-148-133-142-135-133-135-133-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+141+120+119+124+128+122+128+128.7
Cubs-160-130-130-139-139-132-130-128.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +125 to +119
Cubs ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +127 to +120
Cubs ML moved from -160 to -168

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-165+1½-168+1½-165+1½-173+1½-170+1½-173+1½-165+1½-160
Cubs-1½+140-1½+152-1½+140-1½+153-1½+150-1½+153-1½+153-1½+160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-148+1½-170+1½-178+1½-170+1½-160+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160
Cubs-1½+128-1½+150-1½+158-1½+150-1½+140-1½+150-1½+158-1½+160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-113o8-110o8-114o8-115o8-114o8-110o8-104
Underu8-115u8-103u8-110u8-106u8-105u8-106u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105
Brewers at Cardinals
Mets at Dodgers