Marlins at Braves

Updated

Miami Marlins

(4-15)
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
38.2%61.8%
Marlins WinBraves Win
3.46Projected Runs 4.69
7Final Score 8

Atlanta Braves

(12-5)
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-21.51.0

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
167-33.741.131

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 3-2 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Kyle Muller+111
L 0-1 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Drew Smyly+100
W 11-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Jordan Holloway • PHI: Aaron Nola+205
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Vince Velasquez-101
L 5-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Max Scherzer • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+116
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Kyle Muller-118
W 0-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Drew Smyly-105
W 3-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Ian Anderson+155
W 2-20 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • ATL: Max Fried-145
L 4-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Charlie Morton-155

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PCody Poteet10-day IL
  • PDaniel Castano10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm JrRest
  • CJorge AlfaroRest
  • SSJose Devers10-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez60-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PGrant Dayton10-day IL
  • PTucker Davidson60-day IL
S 5 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)84°86°86°87°
Humidity46%42%40%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 5 mphSSW 5 mphS 4 mphS 4 mph
Dan Iassogna
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+175+159+154+159+158+159+159-
Braves-190-178-179-173-173-173-173-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+155+155+157+160+160+160+160-
Braves-170-170-173-175-175-170-170-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +153 to +147
Braves ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +168 to +160
Braves ML moved from -171 to -182

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-135+1½-131+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-131-
Braves-1½+115-1½+111-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-135+1½-130+1½-133+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130-
Braves-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½+103o8½+100o8½+110o8½+110o8½+110o8½+110-
Underu9-115u8½-125u8½-120u8½-130u8½-130u8½-130u8½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½+100o8½+100o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100-
Underu9-105u8½-120u8½-120u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8½-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-114 to u8½-120
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