Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
34.5%65.5%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.56Projected Runs 5.16
6Final Score 2
Rank16
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
Rank16
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-116.141.739

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3012-53.591.198

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+149
L 5-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Max Kranick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+190
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIA: Edward Cabrera+120
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Wil Crowe • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+143
L 1-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Connor Overton+157
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-157
L 8-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CIN: Wade Miley+176
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Max Scherzer • CIN: Sonny Gray+200
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • CIN: Luis Castillo+160
W 1-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Connor Overton-157

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PDavid Bednar10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°71°
Humidity85%89%92%95%
Precipitation23%43%55%65%
ConditionMostly CloudyPossible Light RainRainRain
WindSSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mph
Ben May
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+185+204+210+195+204+210+209.8
Reds-191-225-225-230-225-225-225-209.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+170+190+195+200+201+190+201+209.8
Reds-190-220-215-220-225-210-210-209.8

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +171 to +165
Reds ML moved from -202 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +200 to +190
Reds ML moved from -210 to -220

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½+105+1½+102+1½+100+1½+102+1½+102+1½+105+1½+106
Reds-1½-105-1½-125-1½-122-1½-120-1½-122-1½-122-1½-120-1½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104+1½-105+1½+105+1½-105+1½+105+1½+106
Reds-1½-105-1½-115-1½-114-1½-115-1½-125-1½-115-1½-114-1½-106

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9+100o9+105o9-105o9+105o9+105o9+105o8½-110
Underu9-105u9-120u9-125u9-115u9-125u9-125u9-115u8½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9+100o9+102o9+105o9-105o9+100o9+105o8½-110
Underu9-105u9-120u9-122u9-125u9-115u9-120u9-115u8½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+103 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-106 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125