Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(16-10)
Rank22
R/G4.6
RA/G3.1
43.2%56.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
4.64Projected Runs 5.36
1Final Score 4

Cleveland Guardians

(18-7)
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank22
R/G4.6
RA/G3.1
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Daniel Lynch (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-55.341.61

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
206-32.891.175

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 4-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Joel Payamps • CLE: Nick Wittgren+119
W 7-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Triston McKenzie+146
L 7-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • KCR: Jackson Kowar+108
W 1-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • KCR: Kris Bubic-110
L 6-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • KCR: Jon Heasley+103
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Joel Payamps • CLE: Nick Wittgren-125
L 7-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Triston McKenzie-148
W 11-1 at New York YankeesCLE: Eli Morgan • NYY: Gerrit Cole+285
W 11-3 at New York YankeesCLE: Aaron Civale • NYY: Luis Gil+175
L 0-8 at New York YankeesCLE: Zach Plesac • NYY: Corey Kluber+182

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PMike Minor10-day IL
  • PJakob Junis10-day IL
  • PBrad KellerOut for Season
  • PWade Davis60-day IL
  • PDaniel LynchUnknown
  • PRichard LoveladyOut for Season

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSAmed Rosario10-day IL
  • CRoberto PerezRest
  • CWilson RamosOut for Season
S 8 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°71°73°75°
Humidity80%80%73%68%
Precipitation20%30%48%48%
ConditionOvercastPossible DrizzlePossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindS 8 mphS 8 mphS 10 mphS 12 mph
Alex Tosi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+125+139+144+147+149+147+149+150.0
Guardians-135-165-156-157-159-159-157-150.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+120+145+148+147+139+148+148+150.0
Guardians-130-155-162-157-151-158-151-150.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +126 to +119
Guardians ML moved from -147 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Guardians ML moved from -149 to -162

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-142+1½-145+1½-142+1½-132
Guardians-1½+140-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+132
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-160+1½-150+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-132
Guardians-1½+140-1½+130-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+132

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-130o9-125o9-120o9-125o9-125o9-120o9½+107
Underu9-105u9+110u9+105u9+100u9+105u9+105u9+110u9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-125o9-120o9-130o9-125o9-120o9-120o9½+107
Underu9-100u9+105u9+100u9+110u9+105u9+100u9+110u9½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-120
White Sox at Tigers
Pirates at Reds