Phillies at Marlins

Updated
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
57.5%42.5%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
4.91Projected Runs 4.11
5Final Score 2
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Mick Abel (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-02.351.109

Sandy Alcántara (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-77.141.492

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-11 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • PHI: Zack Wheeler-164
W 2-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Bowden Francis • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-150
W 0-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • PHI: Ranger Suárez+100
W 2-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • PHI: Jesus Luzardo+100
L 8-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • PHI: Mick Abel+109
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 3-1 at Washington NationalsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+143
W 4-3 at Washington NationalsMIA: Cade Gibson • WSN: Trevor Williams+117
W 11-9 at Washington NationalsMIA: Edward Cabrera • WSN: Mitchell Parker-105
L 2-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Cal Quantrill • PIT: Bailey Falter+153
W 3-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Sandy Alcántara • PIT: Mitch Keller+134

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 1BBryce Harper10-day IL
  • PJose AlvaradoOut

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CFDerek Hill10-day IL
  • CRob Brantly60-day IL
  • PMax Meyer15-day IL
  • PRyan Weathers60-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)87°86°84°82°
Humidity58%62%66%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindESE 10 mphESE 9 mphESE 8 mphESE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-125-107-116-109-107-109-107-103.8
Marlins+113-103-104-101-103-101-101+103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-122-110-106-110-106-107-106-103.8
Marlins+110-105-106-105-104-103-103+103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +102 to -101
Marlins ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Marlins ML moved from +103 to -104

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+129-1½+157-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+147-1½+157-1½+154
Marlins+1½-149+1½-173+1½-170+1½-167+1½-165+1½-167+1½-165+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+135+1½-220+1½-225-1½+145-1½+145+1½-220-1½+154
Marlins+1½-155-1½+190-1½+195+1½-165+1½-165-1½+195+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-118o8½-115o8½-117o8½-120o8½-117o8½-115o8½-106
Underu8½-115u8½+102u8½-105u8½-103u8½+100u8½-103u8½+102u8½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110o8½-120o8½-110o8½-106
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-112 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110