Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Updated
42.7%
Projected Runs: 3.96
Final Score: 2

Kyle Wright (RHP)

primary
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-26.752.083
Last 4 Games
Money Line
L 5-14 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+130
W 14-1 at New York MetsATL: Sean Newcomb • NYM: Rick Porcello-103
W 5-3 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Steven Matz-115
L 0-1 at New York MetsATL: Mike Soroka • NYM: Jacob deGrom+165

Injuries

Status
  • CTyler FlowersUnknown
  • PFelix HernandezOut for Season
  • PCole Hamels45-day IL
  • RFNick MarkakisOut
  • PJeremy Walker60-day IL
  • PWill SmithOut
  • CTravis d'ArnaudUnknown
57.3%
Projected Runs: 4.73
Final Score: 5

Yonny Chirinos (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-01.041.5
Last 4 Games
Money Line
W 5-14 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow-135
W 5-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Thomas Hatch • TBR: Blake Snell-190
W 1-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Matt Shoemaker • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-140
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Hyun-Jin Ryu • TBR: Charlie Morton-145

Injuries

Status
  • CFAustin Meadows10-day IL
  • PColin PocheOut for Season
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Paul Nauert
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Atlanta+114+125+117+123+125+123+125
Tampa Bay-124-135-137-133-135-133-133
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Atlanta+122+123+119+123+120+120+123
Tampa Bay-132-133-130-133-130-130-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta ML moved from +120 to +113
Tampa Bay ML moved from -127 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta ML moved from +125 to +117
Tampa Bay ML moved from -126 to -134

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Atlanta+1½-165+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155
Tampa Bay-1½+145-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Atlanta+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-165+1½-160+1½-150
Tampa Bay-1½+140-1½+135-1½+136-1½+130-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-115o9+105o9-105o9+107-o9+107o9+107
Underu8½-105u9-125u9-115u9-127-u9-127u9-115
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-110o8½-120o8½-113o9+105o8½-115o8½-110o9+105
Underu9-110u8½+100u8½-107u9-125u8½-105u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110