Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
55.0%45.0%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.89Projected Runs 4.37
8Final Score 5
Rank17
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank17
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

primary
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-01.380.769

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-00.00.0

Last 4 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 8-7 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Jon Lester • CIN: Wade Miley-114
W 1-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Tyler Chatwood-105
L 8-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Yu Darvish-146
W 0-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jon Lester • CIN: Wade Miley+110
L 3-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Spencer Turnbull • CIN: Trevor Bauer-185
L 6-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Ivan Nova • CIN: Luis Castillo-260
W 1-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • CIN: Sonny Gray-170

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BDaniel Descalso45-day IL
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelQuestionable
  • 3BMike MoustakasUnknown
  • PAnthony DeSclafaniUnknown
  • 1BMatt DavidsonUnknown
  • CTucker BarnhartOut
NW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°86°84°81°
Humidity47%50%54%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 5 mphNW 4 mphNNW 3 mphN 3 mph
Larry Vanover
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+118+120+120+120+120+120-
Reds-105-138-130-130-130-130-130-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-110+120+119+119+115+119+120-
Reds+100-130-130-129-125-129-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 60.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -101
Reds ML moved from -125 to -134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 60.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +103 to -105
Reds ML moved from -124 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-195+1½-165+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160-
Reds-1½+170-1½+145-1½+150-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143-1½+145-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-210+1½-165+1½-164+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-164-
Reds-1½+185-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-115o10½-120o10½-120o10½-115-o10½-120o10½-115-
Underu10½-105u10½+100u10½+100u10½-105-u10½+100u10½+100-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o10½-115o10½-105o10½-110o10½-115o10½-110o10½-105-
Underu10-110u10½-105u10½-115u10½-110u10½-105u10½-110u10½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10½-115