Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Updated
35.1%
Projected Runs: 4.21
Final Score: 0

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-15.341.484
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 1-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Michael Lorenzen+130
L 4-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani+138
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Cody Ponce • CIN: Trevor Bauer+225
L 0-11 at Kansas City RoyalsPIT: Chad Kuhl • KCR: Brad Keller+130
L 4-7 at Kansas City RoyalsPIT: Trevor Williams • KCR: Carlos Hernandez+105

Injuries

Status
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • CFAnthony Alford10-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PTyler Bashlor10-day IL
64.9%
Projected Runs: 5.77
Final Score: 1

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-53.441.318
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Michael Lorenzen-134
W 4-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-145
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Cody Ponce • CIN: Trevor Bauer-250
W 10-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Tyler Mahle • STL: Carlos Martinez-104
L 1-7 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Tejay Antone • STL: Dakota Hudson+118

Injuries

Status
  • RFAristides AquinoRest
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • PJose De Leon10-day IL
  • 3BEugenio SuarezRest
  • PTyler Thornburg60-day IL
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
SW 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°77°72°69°
Humidity45%53%64%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 3 mphSSE 2 mphNNW 2 mphNE 2 mph
D.J. Reyburn
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireStrong Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+224+230+220+220+225+220+230
Cincinnati-250-250-260-245-265-245-245
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+200+205+226+210+210+220+226
Cincinnati-220-245-252-240-240-250-240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 40.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +220 to +210
Cincinnati ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +211 to +205
Cincinnati ML moved from -233 to -252

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+1½-110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+108+1½+105+1½+108+1½+110
Cincinnati-1½-110-1½-125-1½-130-1½-128-1½-125-1½-128-1½-125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+1½-110+1½+105+1½+106+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+106
Cincinnati-1½-110-1½-125-1½-124-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9+105o8-115o8-115o8½+102o8-115o8½+102o8½+102
Underu9-125u8-105u8-105u8½-122u8-105u8½-122u8½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-110o8½+100o8-115o8½+100o8-120o8-115o8-115
Underu8½-110u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8+100u8-105u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110