Red Sox at Royals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(26-26)
Rank17
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
50.4%49.6%
Red Sox WinRoyals Win
3.31Projected Runs 3.28
10Final Score 1

Kansas City Royals

(28-24)
Rank16
R/G3.3
RA/G3.3
Rank17
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G3.3
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Garrett Crochet (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-22.021.061

Cole Ragans (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-13.791.15

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-2 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Hunter Dobbins • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-106
W 0-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • BOS: Brayan Bello-151
W 4-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Tyler Mahle • BOS: Tanner Houck-132
L 6-1 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • BOS: Lucas Giolito+105
L 5-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Paddack • BOS: Garrett Crochet-190
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Hunter Dobbins • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-101
W 0-10 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • KCR: Kris Bubic-240
W 1-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Jonathan Cannon • KCR: Michael Wacha-209
W 3-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Sean Burke • KCR: Seth Lugo-240
W 0-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Shane Smith • KCR: Cole Ragans-215

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • 1BTriston CasasOut
  • PKutter Crawford15-day IL
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PWalker Buehler15-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PZach Penrod60-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CFDairon Blanco10-day IL
  • PKyle Wright15-day IL
  • PJames McArthur15-day IL
  • PAlec Marsh60-day IL
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL
ENE 6 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°78°74°69°
Humidity26%30%39%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 6 mphENE 5 mphE 4 mphE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-113+101-105+100+101+100+101+104.8
Royals+103-111-115-110-111-110-110-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120-105-102-101-105+100+100+104.8
Royals+110-110-110-114-105-110-105-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -101
Royals ML moved from -109 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -105
Royals ML moved from +102 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+149-1½+167+1½-235+1½-228+1½-220+1½-228+1½-202
Royals+1½-170+1½-188-1½+195-1½+191-1½+180-1½+191-1½+202
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+160+1½-220+1½-225+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220+1½-220+1½-202
Royals+1½-180-1½+190-1½+195-1½+180-1½+195-1½+195-1½+195-1½+202

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-118o7-125o7-118o7-115o7-118o7-115o7-107
Underu7½-105u7+102u7+105u7-102u7-105u7-102u7+105u7+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-107
Underu7½-120u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7-105u7+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o7-115
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-120
Phillies at Guardians
Marlins at White Sox