Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
51.4%48.6%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.32Projected Runs 4.17
15Final Score 2
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
184-53.11.21

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
185-54.521.405

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Luis Cessa-110
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Hunter Greene+110
W 1-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Anderson • CHC: Marcus Stroman-175
W 1-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Drew Smyly-135
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson-152
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Luis Cessa+106
W 1-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Hunter Greene-110
L 1-8 at Chicago CubsCIN: Chase Anderson • CHC: Marcus Stroman+165
L 1-2 at Chicago CubsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Drew Smyly+134
L 1-6 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson+147

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • LFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
NW 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°76°74°69°
Humidity26%26%30%37%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyClearClear
WindNW 4 mphNW 4 mphN 3 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-124-130-123-123-123-123-117.5
Reds+105+115+108+113+113+113+115+117.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-125-126-125-125-122-122-117.5
Reds+105+115+115+112+115+112+115+117.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -125 to -135
Reds ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -120 to -128
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+145-1½+137-1½+130-1½+128-1½+128-1½+128-1½+137-1½+138
Reds+1½-170+1½-153+1½-150+1½-148+1½-148+1½-148+1½-148+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+130-1½+128-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+138
Reds+1½-170+1½-150+1½-146+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-146+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o9+107o8½-115o8½-118o8½-118o8½-118o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8-110u9-123u8½-105u8½-102u8½-102u8½-102u9-123u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-135o8½-115o8½-125o8½-120o8½-125o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8-105u8½+115u8½-105u8½+105u8½+100u8½+105u8½+115u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-118 to o9-103
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-135
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½+100