Pirates at Marlins

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
38.3%61.7%
Pirates WinMarlins Win
3.10Projected Runs 4.32
4Final Score 5
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
172-84.341.471

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
176-42.911.071

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-2 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Chris Stratton • MIA: Daniel Castano+146
W 5-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Trevor Rogers+152
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Jose Quintana • MIL: Eric Lauer+155
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+250
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Aaron Ashby+195
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chris Stratton • MIA: Daniel Castano-150
L 5-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Trevor Rogers-162
W 2-0 at New York MetsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • NYM: Taijuan Walker-102
L 4-5 at New York MetsMIA: Braxton Garrett • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+163
W 5-2 at New York MetsMIA: Pablo Lopez • NYM: Chris Bassitt+146

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CTyler HeinemanOut
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • 1BMichael ChavisRest
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
  • 1BGarrett CooperQuestionable
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • PJesus Luzardo60-day IL
  • SSMiguel RojasRest
  • PEdward CabreraUnknown
WSW 3 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°85°84°84°
Humidity74%72%73%79%
Precipitation9%5%4%7%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindWSW 3 mphWSW 2 mphSSW 5 mphS 7 mph
James Hoye
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+144+156+158+154+156+158+160.7
Marlins-185-175-169-168-169-169-168-160.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+164+155+153+170+155+158+170+160.7
Marlins-180-170-168-205-170-168-168-160.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +154 to +146
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 70.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +162
Marlins ML moved from -164 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-150+1½-149+1½-150+1½-149+1½-149+1½-149+1½-138
Marlins-1½+115-1½+130-1½+129-1½+130-1½+129-1½+129-1½+130-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-140+1½-151+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-138
Marlins-1½+115-1½+120-1½+132-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+132-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-105o7-111o7-110o7-109o7-111o7-105o7+100
Underu7½-120u7-115u7-109u7-110u7-111u7-109u7-109u7+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7-105o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-105o7-105o7+100
Underu7-110u7-115u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-115u7-110u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-109 to u7-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-115