Tampa Bay at Baltimore

Updated
57.5%
Projected Runs: 5.12
Final Score: 1

Ryan Yarbrough (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-33.971.235
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 3-1 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Charlie Morton • BAL: Jorge Lopez-174
W 2-1 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BAL: Alex Cobb-190
W 6-10 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Bruce Zimmermann • TBR: Trevor Richards-172
W 3-1 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Blake Snell • BAL: Dean Kremer-180
L 4-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Austin Voth • TBR: Pete Fairbanks-178

Injuries

Status
  • 1BJi-Man Choi10-day IL
  • PCody Reed60-day IL
  • 3BYandy Diaz10-day IL
  • CMike ZuninoUnknown
  • PChaz RoeOut for Season
  • CFAustin Meadows10-day IL
  • PJalen BeeksOut for Season
42.5%
Projected Runs: 4.33
Final Score: 2

John Means (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-35.631.188
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Charlie Morton • BAL: Jorge Lopez+165
L 2-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BAL: Alex Cobb+185
L 6-10 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Bruce Zimmermann • TBR: Trevor Richards+161
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Blake Snell • BAL: Dean Kremer+168
W 1-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Cole Hamels • BAL: Keegan Akin+165

Injuries

Status
  • SSJose IglesiasQuestionable
  • 1BChris DavisOut for Season
  • PWade LeBlanc60-day IL
  • PShawn Armstrong10-day IL
  • RFAnthony SantanderOut for Season
NE 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°66°67°66°
Humidity43%40%40%40%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 8 mphNE 9 mphNE 9 mphNE 10 mph
Tripp Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-165-145-155-151-150-151-145
Baltimore+152+135+135+139+140+139+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-165-145-150-148-150-148-145
Baltimore+155+135+137+138+135+138+138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -166 to -176
Baltimore ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Baltimore ML moved from +144 to +135

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½-110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+103-1½+105-1½+103-1½+105
Baltimore+1½-110+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-125+1½-123+1½-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½-105-1½+105-1½+110-1½-105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+110
Baltimore+1½-115+1½-125+1½-128+1½-115+1½-120+1½-125+1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-115o8+100o8+100o8+105o8+100o8+105o8+105
Underu8½-105u8-120u8-120u8-125u8-120u8-125u8-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-115o8-105o7½-105o7½-110o8+105o8+100o7½-105
Underu8½-105u8-115u7½-115u7½-110u8-125u8-120u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110