Braves at Diamondbacks

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(17-6)
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
63.1%36.9%
Braves WinDiamondbacks Win
4.70Projected Runs 3.32
5Final Score 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

(12-14)
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-22.970.99

Ryne Nelson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-25.371.439

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 2-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Merrill Kelly-111
W 4-2 at Oakland AthleticsATL: Jared Shuster • OAK: James Kaprielian-215
L 1-2 at Oakland AthleticsATL: Bryce Elder • OAK: JP Sears-234
L 2-7 at Oakland AthleticsATL: Mike Soroka • OAK: Paul Blackburn-236
W 4-11 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Dylan Covey • ATL: Spencer Strider-240
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Merrill Kelly+105
W 4-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Connor Seabold • ARI: Zach Davies-165
W 0-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Dinelson Lamet • ARI: Tommy Henry-139
W 1-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • ARI: Zac Gallen-240
W 5-7 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Karl Kauffmann • ARI: Ryne Nelson-195

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMichael TonkinUnknown
  • PMax FriedUnknown
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PDylan LeeUnknown

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PJoe MantiplyUnknown
  • 1BChristian WalkerRest
  • SSNick AhmedRest
W 6 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)96°92°89°87°
Humidity16%17%18%19%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 6 mphW 7 mphWSW 6 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-191-228-240-235-230-235-228-218.9
Diamondbacks+175+203+195+212+210+212+212+218.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-205-245-250-240-240-240-240-218.9
Diamondbacks+170+205+224+196+213+195+224+218.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 10.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -225 to -240
Diamondbacks ML moved from +170 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -225 to -240
Diamondbacks ML moved from +190 to +175

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-120-1½-143-1½-145-1½-142-1½-140-1½-142-1½-140-1½-130
Diamondbacks+1½+100+1½+127+1½+125+1½+122+1½+120+1½+122+1½+127+1½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-125-1½-140-1½-142-1½-140-1½-140-1½-145-1½-140-1½-130
Diamondbacks+1½+105+1½+120+1½+124+1½+118+1½+120+1½+125+1½+125+1½+130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o9+107o9+105o9+103o9+105o9+103o9+107o9+112
Underu9-125u9-123u9-125u9-123u9-125u9-123u9-123u9-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9+105o9+105o8½-120o9+105o9+105o9+105o9+112
Underu8½-105u9-125u9-125u8½+100u9-125u9-125u8½+100u9-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125
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