Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
41.1%58.9%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.70Projected Runs 4.64
7Final Score 5
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-34.231.565

Aaron Ashby (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
142-94.131.45

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Robert Dugger • MIL: Eric Lauer+213
L 0-3 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Mike Minor • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+197
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIA: Braxton Garrett+135
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+107
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Austin Voth • CIN: Nick Lodolo-118
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Robert Dugger • MIL: Eric Lauer-219
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Zach Thompson-260
L 7-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Tyler Beede-199
L 3-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: Bryse Wilson-270
L 2-7 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Aaron Ashby • BOS: Josh Winckowski-137

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • PHunter StricklandOut
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PTrevor RosenthalUnknown
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
  • 2BKolten WongRest
  • 1BRowdy TellezRest
  • 2BJace Peterson10-day IL
  • COmar Narvaez10-day IL
S 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)88°86°84°82°
Humidity63%68%72%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindS 9 mphS 8 mphS 8 mphS 8 mph
Angel Hernandez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+184+158+148+154+158+154+158+161.7
Brewers-201-171-180-167-173-167-167-161.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+165+155+152+148+155+155+155+161.7
Brewers-182-170-167-175-170-165-165-161.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +161 to +154
Brewers ML moved from -167 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +158 to +148
Brewers ML moved from -178 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-120+1½-138+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-128
Brewers-1½+100-1½+122-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+122-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-140+1½-143+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-128
Brewers-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-113o8-105o8-125o8-103o8-125o8-103o8+100
Underu8½-105u8-103u8-115u8+105u8-117u8+105u8+105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-118 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-113 to u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115