Red Sox at Brewers

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
42.7%57.3%
Red Sox WinBrewers Win
3.32Projected Runs 4.09
5Final Score 6

Milwaukee Brewers

(97-65)
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-14.081.698

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-32.551.117

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Richard Fitts • MIL: Aaron Civale-102
L 2-3 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Garrett Crochet • MIL: Chad Patrick-162
L 5-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • BOS: Walker Buehler-124
L 2-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • BOS: Lucas Giolito-132
W 5-6 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Zach Eflin • BOS: Hunter Dobbins-105
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Richard Fitts • MIL: Aaron Civale-104
W 2-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Crochet • MIL: Chad Patrick+150
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Logan Henderson • PIT: Bailey Falter-152
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Quinn Priester • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
L 5-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Paul Skenes+113

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BTriston CasasOut
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida60-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PTanner Houck15-day IL
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PRobert Gasser60-day IL
  • PJose Quintana15-day IL
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • CFBlake Perkins60-day IL
  • PNestor Cortes60-day IL
  • PConnor Thomas15-day IL
  • PQuinn PriesterQuestionable
  • PBrandon Woodruff15-day IL
NE 5 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)59°59°59°60°
Humidity76%75%74%72%
Precipitation100%100%32%29%
ConditionRainRainDrizzleCloudy
WindNE 5 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 6 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+125+135+126+131+133+131+133+136.7
Brewers-138-145-150-145-143-145-142-136.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+137+135+128+133+133+138+138+136.7
Brewers-155-150-143-148-150-153-143-136.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +135 to +127
Brewers ML moved from -142 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 50.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +139 to +133
Brewers ML moved from -148 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-158+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-158+1½-157
Brewers-1½+140-1½+142-1½+140-1½+149-1½+150-1½+149-1½+150-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-170+1½-180+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-157
Brewers-1½+140-1½+150-1½+155-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-108o7½+100o7½-107o7½-105o7½-107o7½+100o7½+103
Underu7½-105u7½-108u7½-120u7½-113u7½-115u7½-113u7½-108u7½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½+103
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110
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