Cubs at Pirates

Updated
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
48.6%51.4%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.09Projected Runs 4.24
1Final Score 7
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank12
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Matt Swarmer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-25.231.258

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-13.061.299

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-12 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Caleb Kilian • PIT: JT Brubaker+103
L 6-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+145
W 3-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • CHC: Justin Steele+182
W 0-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Keegan Thompson+170
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CHC: Matt Swarmer+173
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-12 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Caleb Kilian • PIT: JT Brubaker-109
W 3-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • PIT: Mitch Keller+170
L 7-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • PIT: Jose Quintana+155
L 2-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Carlos Rodon • PIT: Zach Thompson+200
W 6-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Roansy Contreras • STL: Jack Flaherty+175

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • 1BFrank SchwindelRest
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown
  • 2BJosh VanMeter10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL
N 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°86°84°83°
Humidity43%48%52%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 3 mphNNE 2 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 6 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+113+128+129+132+129+129+132+133.2
Pirates-123-153-139-142-139-139-139-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+118+130+128+130+133+130+133+133.2
Pirates-128-140-140-140-145-140-140-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +136 to +128
Pirates ML moved from -149 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +140 to +130
Pirates ML moved from -149 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-190+1½-160+1½-165+1½-155+1½-165+1½-165+1½-155+1½-154
Pirates-1½+165-1½+135-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-175+1½-155+1½-158+1½-165+1½-155+1½-165+1½-155+1½-154
Pirates-1½+155-1½+135-1½+139-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o9-108o9-105o9-105o9-108o9-105o9+104
Underu8½-105u9-115u9-112u9-115u9-115u9-112u9-112u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-105o9-108o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105o9+104
Underu8½-110u9-115u9-112u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-104 to o9-112
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115