Guardians at Nationals

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(88-74)
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
52.7%47.3%
Guardians WinNationals Win
4.40Projected Runs 4.12
9Final Score 10

Washington Nationals

(66-96)
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.781.406

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-14.011.125

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-4 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TOR: Bowden Francis-104
W 5-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Gavin Williams • TOR: Kevin Gausman+137
L 3-5 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Logan Allen • TOR: Chris Bassitt+155
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Ben Lively+117
W 2-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Luis Ortiz+100
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 4-1 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CIN: Nick Martinez-104
W 11-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Trevor Williams • CIN: Nick Lodolo+170
L 1-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CIN: Hunter Greene+180
W 4-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Brad Lord • PHI: Taijuan Walker+161
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+220

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • SSJuan Brito15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
  • PTanner BibeeQuestionable
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
  • PTrevor Stephan60-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PZach Brzykcy15-day IL
  • 3BAndres Chaparro10-day IL
  • PDJ Herz60-day IL
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli15-day IL
  • PDerek Law15-day IL
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL
  • PJosiah Gray60-day IL
SW 11 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°73°72°70°
Humidity54%47%46%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 11 mphWSW 11 mphSW 11 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-112-113--117-115-117-113-111.1
Nationals+102+103-+106+105+106+106+111.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-112-120-120-113-115-118-113-111.1
Nationals-108+105+108-102+105+108+108+111.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -111 to -117
No Steam Moves On Nationals ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -112 to -119
Nationals ML moved from +103 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+140-1½+142--1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+142-1½+143
Nationals+1½-160+1½-158-+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+143-1½+135-1½+136-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143
Nationals+1½-163+1½-155+1½-156+1½-150+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-113o9-118-o9-115o9-110o9-115o9-110o9-104
Underu9-103u9+102-u9-105u9-110u9-105u9+102u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-110o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-110o9-104
Underu9-105u9+100u9-110u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+100u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-107
The Under moved from u9½-116 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100
Mariners at Athletics
Dodgers at Marlins