Pirates at Guardians

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
45.9%54.1%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
3.89Projected Runs 4.32
1Final Score 6
Rank11
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2611-83.841.241

Alex Cobb (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.351.452

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-0 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Luis Ortiz • CLE: Matthew Boyd+179
L 8-10 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Bailey Falter • CLE: Ben Lively+145
L 14-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Paul Skenes-160
L 9-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Jared Jones+112
L 18-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Mitch Keller-108
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • CLE: Matthew Boyd-187
W 8-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CLE: Ben Lively-145
W 5-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • CLE: Tanner Bibee-155
L 6-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • CLE: Gavin Williams-154
L 9-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • CLE: Logan Allen-134

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
  • PBen Heller15-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
WNW 12 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°78°78°77°
Humidity64%64%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%6%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 12 mphWNW 12 mphNW 11 mphNNW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+130+137+119+138+138+138+138+142.8
Guardians-142-147-142-150-148-150-142-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+135+142+135+133+136+134+142+142.8
Guardians-147-152-148-148-148-148-148-142.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Guardians ML moved from -139 to -146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Guardians ML moved from -145 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-163+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Guardians-1½+145-1½+147-1½+155-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-165+1½-164+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Guardians-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-113o8-115o7½-118o7½-115o7½-118o7½-113o7½-107
Underu8½-115u7½-103u8-105u7½-102u7½-105u7½-102u8-105u7½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-107
Underu8½-115u7½+100u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½+100u7½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-117
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110