Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(32-30)
Rank6
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
44.5%55.5%
Cubs WinPirates Win
3.83Projected Runs 4.40
1Final Score 12

Pittsburgh Pirates

(33-29)
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jordan Wicks (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-22.891.03

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Ben Brown • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski-118
L 8-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Peter Lambert • CHC: Shota Imanaga-160
L 3-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Kei-Wei Teng • CHC: Colin Rea-137
L 4-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • CHC: Jameson Taillon-135
L 5-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Kyle Harrison • CHC: Edward Cabrera-106
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+110
W 4-1 at Toronto Blue JaysPIT: Mitch Keller • TOR: Dylan Cease+160
L 2-5 at Toronto Blue JaysPIT: Paul Skenes • TOR: Patrick Corbin-134
L 2-6 at Toronto Blue JaysPIT: Bubba Chandler • TOR: Kevin Gausman+141
W 6-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • STL: Dustin May-113

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PCade Horton60-day IL
  • RFMatt Shaw10-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera15-day IL
  • PMatthew Boyd15-day IL
  • PHunter Harvey60-day IL
  • PRiley Martin15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PChris Devenski15-day IL
  • DHRyan O'Hearn10-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
WSW 5 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°78°76°73°
Humidity57%61%70%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWSW 5 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 5 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+152+122+116+122+125+122+125+127.5
Pirates-168-135-139-135-135-135-135-127.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+118+125+121+123+123+122+125+127.5
Pirates-132-135-135-138-138-134-134-127.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +119 to +111
Pirates ML moved from -128 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +128 to +121
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-195+1½-164+1½-185+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-164+1½-157
Pirates-1½+165-1½+149-1½+160-1½+149-1½+155-1½+149-1½+155-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-185+1½-180+1½-175+1½-157
Pirates-1½+170-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o8½+100o8½+100o8-121o8-115o8-121o8-115o8-110
Underu8-125u8½-112u8½-120u8+101u8-105u8+101u8½-112u8+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110
Underu8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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