Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(12-7)
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
42.2%57.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.77Projected Runs 4.58
2Final Score 9

Cleveland Guardians

(12-6)
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Jonathan Heasley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-95.01.455

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
194-65.041.198

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Daniel Lynch • CLE: Cal Quantrill+165
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Triston McKenzie+177
L 5-7 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Max Castillo • CLE: Shane Bieber+208
W 7-1 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Kris Bubic • CLE: Zach Plesac+160
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale+125
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • CLE: Cal Quantrill-178
L 5-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Triston McKenzie-188
W 5-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Max Castillo • CLE: Shane Bieber-220
L 7-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • CLE: Zach Plesac-162
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-135

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 3BNicky LopezRest
  • CSalvador PerezUnknown
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BOwen MillerRest
  • CAustin HedgesRest
NNW 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°68°68°67°
Humidity54%54%56%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 3 mphNNW 2 mphNNW 3 mphS 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+153+162+144+162+161+162+162+168.6
Guardians-185-175-175-176-176-176-175-168.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+170+160+160+158+160+160+160+168.6
Guardians-185-175-176-190-175-170-170-168.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +153 to +144
Guardians ML moved from -166 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +160 to +153
Guardians ML moved from -165 to -176

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-125+1½-133+1½-135+1½-131+1½-131+1½-131+1½-131+1½-124
Guardians-1½+105-1½+117-1½+115-1½+111-1½+111-1½+111-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-124
Guardians-1½+110-1½+115-1½+112-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-113o7½-115o7½-113o7½-113o7½-113o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½-107u7½-107u7½-107u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110
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