Pirates at Guardians

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-11)
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
30.8%69.2%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
4.20Projected Runs 6.16
8Final Score 0

Cleveland Guardians

(16-6)
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-54.681.378

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-53.991.257

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+220
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: Chad Kuhl+150
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Trevor Williams+224
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jose Quintana • PIT: Steven Brault+145
L 5-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jon Lester • PIT: JT Brubaker+140
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-230
W 4-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CLE: Zach Plesac-128
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • CLE: Shane Bieber-160
W 3-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Reynaldo Lopez • CLE: Cal Quantrill-120
W 4-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dane Dunning • CLE: Aaron Civale-105

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • CFCole TuckerUnknown
  • PKeone KelaOut for Season
  • CFAnthony Alford10-day IL
  • PTyler Bashlor10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • CFJason Martin10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PJefry Rodriguez45-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°77°75°75°
Humidity56%60%65%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 6 mphS 9 mphS 11 mph
Bill Welke
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+188+143+153+150+155+153+155-
Guardians-205-166-166-160-170-166-160-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+153+155+155+155+150+155-
Guardians-200-168-171-170-175-160-160-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +157 to +150
Guardians ML moved from -182 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +160 to +154
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-140+1½-138+1½-138-
Guardians-1½+100-1½+120-1½+118-1½+120-1½+120-1½+118-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-135+1½-138+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130-
Guardians-1½-105-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-113o8-110o8-110o8-113o8-110-
Underu8-115u8-110u8-107u8-110u8-110u8-107u8-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110-
Underu8-105u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110
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