Marlins at Reds

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
46.6%53.4%
Marlins WinReds Win
4.20Projected Runs 4.55
7Final Score 6
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Daniel Castano (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-33.861.4

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-24.71.416

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Braxton Garrett • CIN: Luis Castillo+146
W 2-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CIN: Hunter Greene-108
L 2-11 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Trevor Rogers • CIN: Nick Lodolo+129
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PIT: Mitch Keller-158
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Max Meyer • PIT: Jose Quintana-108
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • CIN: Luis Castillo-148
L 2-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CIN: Hunter Greene+107
W 2-11 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • CIN: Nick Lodolo-127
W 3-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Tyler Mahle+145
L 6-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Mike Minor+151

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PCody Poteet60-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr60-day IL
  • 1BGarrett Cooper10-day IL
  • PJimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • PAnthony Bender60-day IL
  • PMax MeyerOut for Season
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • CFJesus SanchezRest
  • PJordan HollowayUnknown
  • LFJorge SolerUnknown
  • PElieser HernandezUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • SSKyle FarmerRest
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • CAramis Garcia10-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • PRoss DetwilerUnknown
  • PArt WarrenUnknown
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • PLuis CessaUnknown
W 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°84°85°87°
Humidity77%68%62%56%
Precipitation1%1%2%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyClearPartly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphW 7 mphW 7 mphWNW 8 mph
Vic Carapazza
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+120+113+120+120+120+120+120+123.5
Reds-130-135-130-130-130-130-130-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+119+122+119+120+125+118+125+123.5
Reds-130-132-130-130-135-128-128-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-165+1½-170+1½-166+1½-170+1½-166+1½-166+1½-166+1½-154
Reds-1½+145-1½+145-1½+146-1½+150-1½+146-1½+146-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-164+1½-165+1½-164+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-154
Reds-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-120o9-117o9-120o9-117o9-117o9-117o9-109
Underu9½-115u9+100u9-103u9+100u9-103u9-103u9+100u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-120o9-125o9-115o9½+100o9-120o9-115o9-109
Underu9½-115u9+100u9+105u9-105u9½-120u9+100u9+105u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-124 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105