Pirates at Phillies

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
28.9%71.1%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
2.77Projected Runs 4.94
2Final Score 5
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-35.21.541

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-12.950.914

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Andrew Heaney • PHI: Ranger Suárez+220
W 4-0 at New York MetsPIT: Bailey Falter • NYM: Clay Holmes+233
L 1-2 at New York MetsPIT: Mitch Keller • NYM: Kodai Senga+210
L 3-4 at New York MetsPIT: Paul Skenes • NYM: David Peterson+148
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+208
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andrew Heaney • PHI: Ranger Suárez-235
L 14-7 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PHI: Aaron Nola-117
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-172
L 3-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-160
W 3-0 at Cleveland GuardiansPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Luis Ortiz-160

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFO'Neil CruzIn Lineup
  • 2BSpencer HorwitzIn Lineup
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PAaron Nola15-day IL
WSW 11 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°79°76°73°
Humidity48%51%57%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 11 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 7 mphW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+240+273+260+282+255+282+282+291.3
Phillies-270-333-330-321-310-321-310-291.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+240+260+279+260+260+280+280+291.3
Phillies-290-320-320-320-330-320-320-291.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +277 to +265
Phillies ML moved from -315 to -321

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +270 to +260
Phillies ML moved from -310 to -330

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+115+1½+142+1½+135+1½+142+1½+145+1½+142+1½+145+1½+150
Phillies-1½-135-1½-158-1½-160-1½-162-1½-165-1½-162-1½-158-1½-150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+115+1½+140+1½+150+1½+155+1½+150+1½+145+1½+155+1½+150
Phillies-1½-135-1½-160-1½-170-1½-175-1½-170-1½-165-1½-160-1½-150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-118o9-113o9-120o9-117o9-115o9-117o9-113o9-106
Underu8-102u9-103u9+100u9-103u9-105u9-103u9+100u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-106
Underu8½-115u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-115u9-110u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
No Steam Moves On Under