Pirates at Phillies

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
34.9%65.1%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.12Projected Runs 4.69
4Final Score 8

Philadelphia Phillies

(96-66)
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Andrew Heaney (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-33.151.117

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.911.219

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-0 at New York MetsPIT: Bailey Falter • NYM: Clay Holmes+233
L 1-2 at New York MetsPIT: Mitch Keller • NYM: Kodai Senga+210
L 3-4 at New York MetsPIT: Paul Skenes • NYM: David Peterson+148
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+208
L 3-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: AJ Smith-Shawver • PIT: Andrew Heaney+140
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 14-7 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PHI: Aaron Nola-117
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-172
L 3-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-160
W 3-0 at Cleveland GuardiansPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Luis Ortiz-160
W 7-1 at Cleveland GuardiansPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Tanner Bibee-126

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • CFO'Neil CruzQuestionable
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PAaron Nola15-day IL
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+189+208+195+220+205+220+220+227.8
Phillies-210-230-240-247-225-247-225-227.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+190+210+208+210+220+210+220+227.8
Phillies-220-250-235-240-260-240-235-227.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +220 to +210
Phillies ML moved from -233 to -245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +220 to +210
Phillies ML moved from -245 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½+102+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+102+1½+109
Phillies-1½-110-1½-118-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-115-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+109
Phillies-1½+100-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9+102o9-110o9-106o9-105o9-106o9+102o9+104
Underu8½-115u9-118u9-110u9-114u9-115u9-114u9-110u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-105o9-107o9+100o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+104
Underu8½-115u9-115u9-113u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-113u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105
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