Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank4
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5
29.2%70.8%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
3.58Projected Runs 5.72
6Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank4
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Alexander Wells (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-37.761.913

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2910-83.521.156

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 3-9 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Zac Lowther • BOS: Nick Pivetta+248
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale+300
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BAL: Chris Ellis+205
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BAL: John Means+149
L 7-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Alexander Wells+292
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Zac Lowther • BOS: Nick Pivetta-278
W 1-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale-314
W 9-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Tanner Houck • SEA: Marco Gonzales-124
W 8-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • SEA: Tyler Anderson-135
L 4-5 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • SEA: Logan Gilbert-118

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
  • PTanner Scott10-day IL
  • PMatt HarveyOut for Season
  • PJorge LopezOut for Season
  • SSRamon UriasUnknown
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • CFYairo Munoz10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoOut
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • 1BKyle SchwarberRest
ENE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°73°72°71°
Humidity50%47%46%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 5 mphENE 4 mphENE 6 mphNE 6 mph
Doug Eddings
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+279+265+287+265+265+287+287+292.0
Red Sox-315-335-325-325-325-325-325-292.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+260+280+281+290+295+285+295+292.0
Red Sox-315-340-315-350-370-330-315-292.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +260 to +250
Red Sox ML moved from -320 to -335

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +292 to +281
Red Sox ML moved from -350 to -370

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+150+1½+145+1½+146+1½+140+1½+146+1½+146+1½+146+1½+150
Red Sox-1½-170-1½-170-1½-166-1½-160-1½-166-1½-166-1½-160-1½-150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+150+1½+150+1½+143+1½+150+1½+155+1½+145+1½+155+1½+150
Red Sox-1½-170-1½-170-1½-162-1½-170-1½-175-1½-165-1½-162-1½-150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115o9½-120o9½-120o9½-115o9½-107
Underu10-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½+100o9½-120o9½-112o9½-120o9½-115o9½-115o9½-112o9½-107
Underu10½-120u9½+100u9½-108u9½+100u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u10-115 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110