Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(15-8)
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.4
27.3%72.7%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
3.52Projected Runs 5.88
1Final Score 7

Boston Red Sox

(13-11)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank3
R/G5.6
RA/G4.4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Keegan Akin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
152-96.831.576

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-02.521.4

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BAL: Chris Ellis+205
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BAL: John Means+149
L 7-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Alexander Wells+292
L 22-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Steven Matz • BAL: Zac Lowther+195
L 11-2 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Thomas Hatch • BAL: Keegan Akin+185
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 9-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Tanner Houck • SEA: Marco Gonzales-124
W 8-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • SEA: Tyler Anderson-135
L 4-5 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • SEA: Logan Gilbert-118
L 1-2 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CHW: Lance Lynn+152
W 9-8 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Connor Seabold • CHW: Dylan Cease+162

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • RFAnthony SantanderRest
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
  • PMatt HarveyOut for Season
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest
  • PTanner Scott10-day IL
  • 1BTrey ManciniUnknown
  • PJorge LopezOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BChristian ArroyoOut
  • PChris Sale10-day IL
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • CFYairo Munoz10-day IL
NE 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°65°66°68°
Humidity91%92%90%84%
Precipitation0%2%2%2%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNE 3 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 4 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+287+285+285+270+263+285+285+305.6
Red Sox-325-370-323-330-323-323-323-305.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+285+300+290+280+285+274+300+305.6
Red Sox-330-360-328-340-350-314-314-305.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +270 to +260
Red Sox ML moved from -330 to -370

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +285 to +274
Red Sox ML moved from -350 to -360

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+155+1½+145+1½+148+1½+155+1½+148+1½+148+1½+155+1½+159
Red Sox-1½-175-1½-170-1½-168-1½-175-1½-168-1½-168-1½-168-1½-159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+150+1½+155+1½+149+1½+155+1½+155+1½+140+1½+155+1½+159
Red Sox-1½-170-1½-175-1½-168-1½-175-1½-175-1½-160-1½-160-1½-159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+107
Underu9½-105u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+107
Underu9½-105u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+105 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115
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