Phillies at Padres

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.6
RA/G3.8
52.6%47.4%
Phillies WinPadres Win
4.21Projected Runs 3.93
9Final Score 3
Rank13
R/G4.9
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.6
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.9
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-13.161.085

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-25.741.532

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 5-0 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Zack Wheeler • CIN: Nick Martinez-163
L 4-7 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Spencer Turnbull • CIN: Nick Lodolo+135
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • CIN: Andrew Abbott-127
W 7-0 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Ranger Suárez • CIN: Hunter Greene-105
W 2-8 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Nick Nastrini • PHI: Aaron Nola-270
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 9-10 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Randy Vásquez • COL: Dakota Hudson-137
W 5-2 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Matt Waldron • COL: Ty Blach-140
L 4-7 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Michael King • COL: Ryan Feltner-140
W 3-1 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Dylan Cease • COL: Austin Gomber-170
W 3-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • SDP: Joe Musgrove-107

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PDylan Covey15-day IL
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon10-day IL
  • PMichael Rucker15-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker15-day IL
  • -Luis Ortiz15-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 3BManny MachadoOut
  • CFJackson MerrillQuestionable
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
W 11 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°61°60°59°
Humidity68%74%76%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 11 mphW 11 mphW 10 mphWSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-109-107-114-110-110-110-107-104.8
Padres-101-103-106+100+100+100+100+104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-110-108-109-115-110-110-108-104.8
Padres+100-102-101+100+100+100+100+104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -103
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -104
Padres ML moved from +100 to -101

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+155-1½+157-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157-1½+162
Padres+1½-175+1½-173+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-173+1½-162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+162
Padres+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-123o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7½-105u7+107u7½-120u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7½-105u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-120