Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(10-13)
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
44.9%55.1%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.31Projected Runs 4.85
3Final Score 0

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

John Gant (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-93.981.469

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1510-23.321.065

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen-120
W 6-5 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Griffin Jax • TBR: Luis Patino+197
L 4-11 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Andrew Albers • TBR: Chris Archer+195
L 3-5 at Tampa Bay RaysMIN: Randy Dobnak • TBR: Michael Wacha+173
L 3-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIN: Joe Ryan-174
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen+115
W 11-5 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • BOS: Kutter Crawford+130
L 3-4 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Eli Morgan • BOS: Tanner Houck+175
L 5-8 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+157
W 4-2 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Mike Minor+102

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • SSErnie Clement10-day IL
  • PNick Sandlin10-day IL
  • CWilson RamosOut for Season
SSW 13 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°81°81°82°
Humidity50%53%56%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 13 mphS 13 mphSSW 16 mphSSW 17 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+134+113+121+116+121+121+121-
Guardians-145-133-131-126-131-131-126-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+122+113+121+120+118+118+121-
Guardians-132-123-132-130-128-128-123-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +124 to +115
Guardians ML moved from -133 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +122 to +113
Guardians ML moved from -124 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-145+1½-155+1½-159+1½-150+1½-159+1½-159+1½-150-
Guardians-1½+125-1½+135-1½+139-1½+130-1½+139-1½+139-1½+139-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-155+1½-160+1½-145+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145-
Guardians-1½+135-1½+140-1½+127-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10-120o10-123o10½-105o10-123o10-123o10-120-
Underu9½-115u10+100u10+103u10½-115u10+103u10+103u10+103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10-125o10-125o10-125o10-115o10-120o10-115-
Underu9½-115u10+105u10+105u10+105u10-105u10+100u10+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-114 to o10-120
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10-125
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110
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